Monday, March 16, 2015

Enough Resources for the World? Why the G7 Should Engage in the Conservation of Natural Resources



 Speech -  by Achim Steiner to the High-Level Session on Resource Efficiency in the Framework of the German G7 Presidency.

Speech by Achim Steiner to the High-Level Session on Resource Efficiency in the Framework of the German G7 Presidency. - See more at: http://www.unep.org/newscentre/default.aspx?DocumentID=26791&ArticleID=34802#sthash.LOHqVYVZ.dpuf
Speech by Achim Steiner to the High-Level Session on Resource Efficiency in the Framework of the German G7 Presidency. - See more at: http://www.unep.org/newscentre/default.aspx?DocumentID=26791&ArticleID=34802#sthash.LOHqVYVZ.dpuf

 Human progress is moving quicker and quicker as time goes on. It's what futurist Ray Kurzweil calls human history's Law of Accelerating Returns: more-advanced societies have the ability to progress at a faster rate than less-advanced societies. And we have witnessed this. Over the last century or so we have cut mortality rates, reduced poverty, if not as evenly as we would have liked, and created technologies we could hardly have dreamt of. Yet this progress has come at a price-through intensive use of our planet's finite resources. 

The "great acceleration" of the last 50 years has seen a rapid transformation of the human relationship with the natural world-more so than in any other period in our history-with escalating use of natural resources leading to environmental degradation. We are, as Nobel Prize winning scientist Paul Crutzen puts it, living in the Age of the Anthropocene-the era in which our activities have a significant and measurable impact on the Earth's ecosystems. 

If we consider the Law of Accelerating Returns, and that the rate of advancement in the 30 years between 1985 and 2015 was higher than the rate between 1955 and 1985, advances are getting bigger and happening more quickly. Yet we don't have to look at our progression as linear; there is an opportunity to radically change the next 30 years by choosing resilient pathways that introduce greater resource efficiency. 

We must ask ourselves what the consequences of this pace of consumption and trajectory of population growth-forecasted to reach nine billion by 2050-will be. By 2009 we were extracting 68 billion tonnes of resources, compared to around 7 billion tonnes in 1900. Under current trends of population growth and expanding middles classes, global extraction of resources is set to reach 140 billion tonnes by 2050. This will probably exceed the availability and accessibility of resources, as well as the carrying capacity of the planet to absorb the impacts of their extraction and use.

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